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Agricultural scientists urge paddy cultivation pause amid prolonged El Niño

Farm experts are recommending a temporary halt to rice planting as El Niño conditions are expected to persist through early 2024, bringing uncertain rainfall patterns to major agricultural regions.

LSN India · 17 October 2026

Agricultural scientists urge paddy cultivation pause amid prolonged El Niño

Agricultural scientists across South Asia are calling for a strategic pause in paddy cultivation as El Niño weather patterns show no signs of weakening in the coming months. The phenomenon, which typically disrupts monsoon cycles and reduces precipitation, is projected to maintain its grip on the region until early next year, leaving farmers and policymakers facing significant uncertainty about seasonal rainfall.

The advisory from agricultural research institutions reflects growing concerns about sowing crops under highly unpredictable weather conditions. With rainfall forecasts remaining unclear, planting rice during this period could result in substantial crop losses, prompting experts to suggest farmers defer their planting schedules until more stable meteorological patterns emerge.

El Niño, a climate pattern characterized by warming ocean temperatures in the Pacific, has historically triggered dry spells across South and Southeast Asia. The current episode's persistence through the winter months heightens risks for both monsoon-dependent and irrigated agricultural regions, affecting millions of farmers who rely on predictable seasonal cycles for crop planning.

Agricultural departments and farming organizations are expected to issue formal guidance to growers in the coming weeks, potentially recommending alternative crops or adjusted planting timelines to minimize climate-related risks. The situation underscores the growing vulnerability of the region's agricultural sector to global climate variability.