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Technology · India Bureau

AI poses escalating catastrophic risks within next decade, experts warn

A comprehensive expert assessment has identified artificial intelligence as a potential source of severe global harm by 2030, with researchers expressing particular concern about autonomous capability development and weaponization.

LSN India · 12 September 2026

Leading AI researchers and policy analysts have raised alarm bells over the trajectory of artificial intelligence development, flagging a significant probability of catastrophic outcomes within the next six years. According to expert surveys examining emerging technological risks, there is a 21.5 percent likelihood that AI systems could acquire dangerous capabilities that trigger widespread harm at a global scale.

The assessment identifies multiple pathways through which advanced AI could pose existential threats to human societies. Beyond uncontrolled capability acquisition, experts rank the prospect of coordinated cyberattacks enabled by AI systems as nearly equally probable, at 21 percent. The weaponization of artificial intelligence—enabling the creation of autonomous military systems capable of operating without human oversight—represents another critical concern for the international community.

The convergence of these risks reflects growing anxieties within the scientific community about the velocity of AI advancement relative to the development of adequate safety measures and governance frameworks. Current regulatory approaches across most nations remain nascent, with policymakers struggling to keep pace with technological innovation.

These findings underscore the urgency for governments, technology companies, and international bodies to establish robust oversight mechanisms and safety protocols before artificial intelligence systems become sufficiently powerful to operate beyond meaningful human control. The window for implementing preventive measures is narrowing, experts caution, making immediate action imperative.