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El Niño could become strongest on record, warns weather agency

The World Meteorological Organization has cautioned that the current El Niño episode may intensify beyond any levels observed in modern monitoring history, potentially triggering severe weather patterns across Asia and beyond.

LSN India · 3 September 2026

El Niño could become strongest on record, warns weather agency

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has raised concerns that the ongoing El Niño phenomenon could develop into the strongest ever recorded, with far-reaching implications for extreme weather across the Asia-Pacific region.

At a press conference in Geneva, WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo indicated that current trajectories suggest the event may surpass all previous records in the organization's observational history. "If this trajectory continues, it may be stronger than anything since our monitoring began," Saulo stated, emphasizing the unprecedented nature of the potential development.

El Niño, the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle, significantly influences global weather patterns and can trigger droughts, flooding, and temperature extremes. For India and South Asia, a particularly strong El Niño typically correlates with weakened monsoon rainfall, raising concerns for agriculture and water resources across the region.

The WMO's assessment underscores the critical need for governments and disaster management agencies to prepare contingency plans for potential climate disruptions. Meteorological services are continuing to monitor ocean temperatures and atmospheric conditions closely to refine forecasts and provide timely warnings to vulnerable regions.

Experts recommend that policymakers in South Asia review climate adaptation strategies and ensure early warning systems are operational to mitigate potential impacts on agricultural production and public welfare as the El Niño event potentially intensifies.