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El Niño threatens to push up power costs, blackout risks

Energy officials warn that the intensifying El Niño weather pattern could strain the Philippines' power supply and drive electricity rates higher. The phenomenon is expected to boost consumption while simultaneously constraining generation capacity.

LSN Philippines · 6 October 2026

The Philippines faces mounting pressure on its energy sector as the strengthening El Niño conditions bear down on the archipelago, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin cautioned Tuesday. The combination of surging electricity demand from increased air conditioning use and potential constraints on power generation capacity poses a dual threat to grid stability and consumer bills.

The super El Niño pattern is expected to trigger higher temperatures across the region, driving up consumption during peak demand periods. Simultaneously, the weather disruption could impact hydroelectric output and strain thermal generation resources, creating supply-side pressures that may necessitate rate adjustments.

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council has already flagged El Niño's potential impacts across multiple sectors. For the power industry specifically, officials warned that managing the balance between supply and demand during the weather event will prove challenging without corresponding rate increases and potential rolling outages.

Energy planners are reviewing contingency measures to mitigate disruptions, though experts suggest consumers should prepare for both higher electricity bills and possible service interruptions in the coming months. The Department of Energy continues coordinating with power utilities and generation companies to optimize available resources during the critical period ahead.