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Experts: 2015-style haze crisis unlikely despite current air quality concerns

While multiple factors are contributing to current haze conditions across the region, meteorologists say a repeat of the severe 2015 crisis is improbable due to the delayed onset of this year's El Niño phenomenon. The later timing means atmospheric conditions will not align as severely with the traditional dry season.

LSN Singapore · 2 September 2026

Experts: 2015-style haze crisis unlikely despite current air quality concerns

Air quality analysts have ruled out a recurrence of the catastrophic 2015 haze event that blanketed Southeast Asia, citing the timing of current climate patterns as a mitigating factor. The delayed arrival of El Niño this year will result in a shorter overlap between the weather phenomenon and the region's peak dry season, reducing the window for severe air pollution episodes.

Experts acknowledge that multiple elements are converging to create current haze conditions. These include ongoing agricultural burning practices, forest fires, and local meteorological patterns. However, the convergence of factors is not expected to reach the critical intensity witnessed in 2015, when regional haze reached hazardous levels and triggered widespread health and economic consequences.

The 2015 crisis occurred when El Niño effects coincided fully with the traditional dry season, creating ideal conditions for uncontrolled fires and atmospheric stagnation. This year's climate cycle will compress the overlap period, providing natural relief as seasonal patterns shift.

Regional authorities continue to monitor air quality across Singapore and neighbouring areas, with meteorologists providing regular updates on atmospheric conditions and pollution trajectories. While vigilance remains necessary, the scientific consensus suggests current circumstances, though concerning, are unlikely to replicate the severity of the 2015 episode.