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India Inc's FY27 profit growth forecast slumps to 9.2% on cost pressures

Corporate earnings growth expectations for the fiscal year ending March 2027 have declined sharply by 700 basis points since February, driven by geopolitical tensions pushing up input costs across industries. Real estate remains a bright spot, bucking the broader slowdown in profit forecasts.

LSN India · 16 October 2026

India Inc's FY27 profit growth forecast slumps to 9.2% on cost pressures

India's corporate sector is facing mounting headwinds as earnings growth projections for FY27 have plummeted to 9.2 percent from 16.5 percent just three months ago, reflecting the toll of escalating geopolitical tensions on manufacturing and operational costs.

The sharp 700 basis point decline in profit growth estimates underscores growing concerns over inflationary pressures stemming from ongoing regional conflicts, which have disrupted global supply chains and driven up raw material expenses for Indian businesses. Companies across sectors report heightened input costs that are eroding margins despite relatively stable demand conditions.

The deterioration in earnings outlook has prompted analysts to adopt a more cautious stance on India Inc's profitability trajectory for the coming fiscal year. Manufacturing-intensive sectors have been particularly affected, with input cost inflation outpacing companies' ability to pass through price increases to consumers.

The real estate sector stands out as a notable exception to the broader earnings weakness, with property companies continuing to post strong performance and maintaining positive growth momentum. The residential market's resilience reflects sustained demand for housing and robust pricing power in major metropolitan markets.

Market participants are now closely monitoring whether Indian companies can stabilize margins through operational efficiencies and pricing actions, or whether the subdued earnings growth will persist through FY27.