LSN News › India

World · India Bureau

India trims FY27 foodgrain output forecast to 373 million tonnes

The Centre has scaled back its agricultural production target for the fiscal year ahead, citing emerging climate concerns and ongoing drought conditions affecting multiple states. The revised estimate reflects challenges faced during the current kharif growing season.

LSN India · 29 September 2026

India trims FY27 foodgrain output forecast to 373 million tonnes

India's foodgrain output projection for fiscal 2026-27 has been reduced to 373 million tonnes, marking a downward revision from earlier expectations as the government confronts weather-related headwinds and diminished soil moisture across farming regions.

The recalibrated target accounts for drought conditions that have impacted kharif cultivation in five states during the 2026 growing season. Officials point to emerging El Niño patterns as a significant factor influencing the decision to lower production estimates, with the weather phenomenon potentially affecting precipitation and temperature patterns critical to crop development across India's agricultural heartland.

State-level challenges have prompted the reassessment, with drought-affected regions experiencing reduced water availability for irrigation and rainfall shortfalls during the crucial monsoon period. The revised forecast suggests a cautious outlook for the upcoming harvest cycle as farmers grapple with moisture stress and uncertain weather conditions.

The Centre's revised target underscores the vulnerability of India's agricultural sector to climatic fluctuations and highlights the importance of weather monitoring and early intervention measures. Agricultural officials are closely tracking monsoon patterns and drought progression as the growing season advances, with implications for domestic food security and market prices.