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Indian crude basket surges past $123 as West Asia tensions mount

Oil prices have climbed to fresh highs amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and disruptions to critical shipping lanes. The spike threatens to amplify inflationary pressures across India's economy.

LSN India · 25 September 2026

The Indian crude basket, a benchmark measure of the country's oil imports, has crossed the $123 per barrel mark as regional instability continues to roil global energy markets. The price surge reflects mounting concerns over supply disruptions stemming from escalating US-Iran tensions and maritime challenges affecting key shipping corridors in West Asia.

Volatility in crude oil markets has intensified significantly in recent weeks, driven by geopolitical developments that threaten to disrupt the flow of oil through strategic waterways vital to global commerce. Any protracted supply constraint could further strain India's current account deficit and exacerbate inflation concerns that have already pressured the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decisions.

India, which imports more than 80 percent of its crude oil requirements, remains particularly vulnerable to price fluctuations in international energy markets. The sustained elevation in crude costs typically translates into higher fuel prices for consumers and elevated input costs for manufacturers, with ripple effects across the broader economy.

Energy analysts warn that the combination of geopolitical risk and logistical challenges creates conditions for continued price volatility. Markets are closely monitoring developments in West Asia and their potential impact on global oil supply, with crude prices likely to remain sensitive to any further escalation in regional tensions or reports of shipping disruptions.