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Indian market revaluation unlikely amid global headwinds: HSBC MF

With valuations in the small and mid-cap segment already pricing in years of robust earnings growth, market experts warn against expecting further upside amid persistent global uncertainty.

LSN India · 22 October 2026

Indian market revaluation unlikely amid global headwinds: HSBC MF

Venugopal Manghat, Chief Investment Officer at HSBC Mutual Fund, has cautioned investors that Indian equity markets are unlikely to see significant re-rating in the near term, citing stretched valuations in pockets of the small and mid-cap space.

Following a sharp rally in recent months, several companies in the SMID (small-cap and mid-cap) segment have seen their valuations reflect several years of strong projected growth, according to Manghat. This leaves limited room for further price appreciation without corresponding improvements in fundamentals.

The caution comes as global markets grapple with various macroeconomic headwinds and policy uncertainties. The confluence of elevated valuations domestically and external risks suggests that investors should maintain realistic expectations for returns in the near to medium term.

Manghat's assessment reflects broader market sentiment that after the significant gains witnessed in recent quarters, Indian equities have already priced in considerable optimism. Market participants are increasingly focused on whether companies can deliver earnings growth sufficient to justify current price levels, particularly in the mid and small-cap segments where valuations have expanded considerably.

Investors are advised to remain cautious and selective in their approach, focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and sustainable growth prospects rather than betting on further market re-rating.