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Japan records first birth increase in over a decade

Japan's birth rate edged upward in the first half of 2026, marking the first year-on-year increase in more than a decade. The modest gain signals a potential shift in the country's decades-long demographic decline.

LSN Singapore · 5 November 2026

Japan records first birth increase in over a decade

Japan registered 320,458 births in the first six months of 2026, representing a 0.4% increase compared with the same period last year, according to official figures. The uptick represents the first time births have grown year-on-year in 11 years, offering a glimmer of hope in a nation grappling with one of the world's most severe demographic challenges.

The world's third-largest economy has faced persistent population decline for nearly two decades, driven by declining fertility rates and an ageing society. The trend has created significant economic and social pressures, including labour shortages and mounting costs for pension and healthcare systems.

While the 0.4% increase is marginal, demographers view it as potentially significant given Japan's prolonged downward trajectory. The improvement may reflect recent government initiatives aimed at supporting families and increasing childbirth, though experts caution that sustained recovery will require sustained policy commitment and broader societal shifts.

Japan's government has made reversing demographic decline a priority, introducing measures to expand childcare support and improve work-life balance. However, analysts note that structural challenges including high living costs and career uncertainties for women continue to weigh on birth decisions.