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Philippine weather bureau warns drought conditions to persist through March 2027

Pagasa warns more Philippine regions will face drought conditions from October 2026 to March 2027 as El Niño effects persist. The state weather bureau's expanded forecast signals prolonged dry periods affecting agriculture and water availability nationwide.

LSN Philippines · 7 October 2026

MANILA — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) has expanded its drought forecast, warning that more regions will experience below-normal rainfall from October 2026 through March 2027. Weather specialist Junie Ruiz presented the updated climate outlook on Wednesday, citing the persistence of El Niño conditions affecting the country's weather systems. The extended drought period represents a significant challenge for agriculture and water resources across multiple provinces. Pagasa's analysis indicates that the combination of El Niño influence and seasonal patterns will suppress rainfall in previously unaffected areas during this six-month window. The weather bureau's forecast underscores the need for water conservation measures and agricultural planning as communities prepare for the extended dry conditions expected through the first quarter of 2027.