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Rupee steadies in first half of FY27 following prior year depreciation

India's rupee has stabilized during the first half of the fiscal year 2026-27, reversing the sharp 10 percent decline recorded in the previous financial year. Meanwhile, yields on India's benchmark 10-year government securities have climbed 13 basis points in the same period.

LSN India · 30 September 2026

Rupee steadies in first half of FY27 following prior year depreciation

The Indian rupee's performance in the opening six months of FY27 marks a notable shift from the currency's significant weakness during FY26, when it shed roughly 10 percent of its value against major international benchmarks. The stabilization comes amid ongoing macroeconomic adjustments and reflects market confidence in the domestic economy's fundamentals.

The government securities market has experienced upward pressure on yields during the same period. India's 10-year benchmark bond yield, a key gauge of borrowing costs and inflation expectations, has climbed approximately 13 basis points since the start of the fiscal year in April 2026.

The combination of rupee stability and rising bond yields reflects the complex interplay of domestic monetary policy, foreign investment flows, and global economic conditions. The relative steadiness of the rupee in H1 FY27 contrasts with the currency pressures that characterized the previous year, suggesting improved sentiment toward Indian assets.

Analysts attribute the currency's performance to various factors including Reserve Bank of India policy positioning, foreign direct investment inflows, and the relative performance of the Indian economy compared to global peers. The yield movements on government bonds indicate evolving inflation and rate expectations among market participants.