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Soaring Gold Prices, High Taxes Drive India's Grey Market Trade

India's surging gold prices and steep taxation have fueled a thriving underground cash market, where traders are sourcing the precious metal at significant discounts compared to official domestic rates.

LSN India · 30 September 2026

Gold's record-breaking rally has created unprecedented arbitrage opportunities in India's shadow economy, with cash-market traders able to procure bullion at discounts reaching $200 per ounce below prevailing domestic prices, according to market participants familiar with the transactions.

The widening price gap reflects the interplay of two key factors: gold's climb to historic highs in global markets and India's relatively high import duties and taxes on the precious metal. These fiscal measures have created a substantial price differential between the official market and informal channels, incentivizing off-the-books trading.

India's fragmented gold market has long accommodated informal transactions, but the current price environment has amplified the incentive structure for participants to sidestep formal channels. The grey market, which operates without regulatory oversight or tax compliance, has become an attractive outlet for both suppliers and buyers seeking to capitalize on price disparities.

The underground market dynamics underscore persistent challenges Indian authorities face in curbing tax evasion and monitoring precious metal flows. As gold prices remain elevated, market participants are likely to continue exploiting the gap between domestic and shadow-market pricing, complicating efforts to ensure transparent trade and proper revenue collection.