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Thai Rice Sector Eyes US Jasmine Competition With Caution

Thai rice exporters are monitoring the emergence of US-grown jasmine rice as a potential competitive threat to their traditional market dominance.

LSN Thailand · 13 October 2026

Rice exporters in Thailand are increasingly concerned about competition from jasmine rice production in the United States, with industry observers warning the new supply could impact export volumes and pricing in key markets.

The concerns reflect growing investment by US agricultural producers in jasmine rice cultivation, a variety historically dominated by Thai growers who have built significant market share based on quality reputation and geographic origin association.

Thailand has long positioned itself as a premium jasmine rice supplier, leveraging its climate and agricultural expertise to command higher prices than competing varieties. The emergence of domestic US production threatens to fragment this market advantage, particularly in North American distribution channels where proximity and trade dynamics favor American suppliers.

Industry representatives have indicated they are closely monitoring US production volumes and export intentions. Thai exporters are expected to emphasize quality differentiation and brand positioning to maintain competitiveness as the competitive landscape shifts.

Analysts note that market response will likely depend on US production capacity, yield consistency, and the willingness of international buyers to source from new suppliers. Thailand's established supply chain infrastructure and quality certifications remain significant competitive advantages in global markets.