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Thailand tourism industry braces for sharp drop in Chinese visitors

Thai travel operators are warning of a potential 50 percent decline in organized Chinese tour groups during next year's Lunar New Year period, raising concerns about the kingdom's tourism recovery.

LSN Thailand · 28 October 2026

Thailand tourism industry braces for sharp drop in Chinese visitors

The Association of Thai Travel Agents has flagged mounting anxiety over a significant contraction in Chinese group bookings for the Lunar New Year 2027 holiday season, one of the year's peak travel periods for visitors from China.

Industry representatives cited shifting travel patterns and changing preferences among Chinese tourists as key factors behind the anticipated downturn. The projected 50 percent reduction in organized tour groups would mark a substantial blow to Thailand's tourism sector, which remains heavily dependent on Chinese visitor arrivals to support hotels, restaurants, and travel-related businesses nationwide.

The warning underscores ongoing challenges facing Thailand's tourism industry as it attempts to capitalize on post-pandemic recovery momentum. Chinese travelers traditionally represent a major revenue source during the Lunar New Year period, with group tours historically accounting for substantial visitor numbers and spending.

Stakeholders in Thailand's travel and hospitality sectors are now assessing contingency strategies to address potential revenue shortfalls. Tourism officials have not yet issued formal statements responding to the industry's concerns, though the projection suggests intensified pressure on policymakers to develop targeted initiatives aimed at attracting and retaining Chinese visitors.

Photo: Visitors at Wat Phra Kaew in the Grand Palace complex, Bangkok, January 2017. Ninara via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0).