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Trump faces crucial midterm test as Democrats gain congressional ground

Former US President Donald Trump has staked his political future on defending his record ahead of midterm elections, despite approval ratings languishing in the mid-to-low 30s. The strategy represents a significant gamble as Democrats consolidate gains in the race for control of Congress.

LSN Malaysia · 5 October 2026

Trump faces crucial midterm test as Democrats gain congressional ground

Donald Trump's decision to centre his midterm campaign messaging on his presidential record reflects a high-risk political calculation as voting day approaches. Political analysts note that the former president's approval ratings have settled at career lows in the 30-40 percent range, presenting headwinds for Republican candidates seeking to distance themselves from his influence.

The former president has maintained a prominent role in Republican campaigning despite his 2020 election loss, with multiple candidates aligned to his political movement running for congressional seats. However, recent polling trends suggest Democratic candidates have momentum in key districts and states that will determine which party controls both chambers of Congress.

Trump's decision to make his own record the centrepiece of campaign rhetoric contrasts with historical midterm strategy, where parties typically focus on local issues and candidate quality rather than defending a predecessor's tenure. Political observers suggest the approach may complicate efforts by moderate Republicans seeking broader voter appeal in competitive districts.

The midterm elections carry significant implications for both domestic US policy and international relations across Asia, as control of Congress determines America's legislative direction on trade, defense spending, and diplomatic priorities affecting the region.