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Turkey revises year-end inflation forecast upward to 28.4%

Turkish officials have raised their inflation projection for the end of the year to 28.4%, citing Middle East geopolitical tensions as a key driver of the upward revision. The move underscores persistent price pressures in the economy despite previous stabilisation efforts.

LSN Malaysia · 6 September 2026

Turkey revises year-end inflation forecast upward to 28.4%

Turkey's Vice-President Cevdet Yilmaz announced the revised inflation forecast, highlighting the significant impact of regional instability on price dynamics. The elevated projection reflects ongoing challenges facing the Turkish economy as it grapples with stubborn inflationary pressures.

The upward revision to 28.4% represents a substantial level of price growth that continues to affect consumers and businesses across the nation. Officials attributed the adjustment partly to spillover effects from the conflict in the Middle East, which has contributed to volatility in energy and commodity markets that feed into broader price increases.

Turkey has faced persistent inflation challenges in recent years, with policymakers implementing various monetary and fiscal measures to bring prices under control. The revised forecast suggests that external shocks, particularly geopolitical developments, remain significant variables in the inflation outlook.

The announcement comes as Turkish authorities continue to monitor economic conditions closely and assess the effectiveness of their stabilisation policies. Regional tensions and their potential impact on global supply chains and energy prices are expected to remain key considerations in economic planning and policy decisions.