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UN warns El Niño will intensify to 'very strong' through February

The United Nations has cautioned that El Niño conditions will strengthen significantly over the coming months, driven by unusually warm ocean temperatures across the tropical Pacific. The phenomenon is expected to maintain very strong intensity until at least February.

LSN Malaysia · 3 September 2026

UN warns El Niño will intensify to 'very strong' through February

El Niño is poised to reach very strong levels in the months ahead, according to warnings from the United Nations. The climate pattern, which influences weather systems across the globe, is being fuelled by exceptionally warm ocean conditions concentrated across the tropical Pacific region.

These elevated sea surface temperatures are expected to continue intensifying the El Niño effect, with forecasters predicting the phenomenon will persist at very strong intensity through February. The sustained warmth in the Pacific waters is creating conditions favourable for further strengthening of the pattern.

El Niño events typically bring significant weather impacts to the Asia-Pacific region, including altered rainfall patterns and temperature fluctuations. Malaysia and neighbouring countries often experience drier conditions during strong El Niño episodes, with implications for agriculture, water resources, and overall weather stability.

The UN's assessment underscores the importance of preparedness measures for the months ahead. Regional governments and weather agencies are expected to monitor conditions closely and provide advisories to help populations and industries adapt to the anticipated climatic shifts associated with the very strong El Niño pattern.