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US job market set for rebound as wage growth moderates

The United States is poised to see stronger employment gains in October, though wage growth is expected to cool slightly. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at 4.2% while annual wage increases are projected to ease to 2.9%.

LSN Malaysia · 6 November 2026

US job market set for rebound as wage growth moderates

US labour market indicators point to accelerating job creation in the coming month, signalling continued resilience in employment despite earlier concerns about economic slowdown. Economists anticipate a pickup in hiring activity after recent months of more subdued gains, though the pace remains moderate by historical standards.

The jobless rate is expected to remain flat at 4.2%, reflecting a stable employment situation even as businesses expand their workforces. This consistency suggests the labour market has found a steady footing after a period of heightened volatility earlier in the year.

Wage growth, a key indicator of labour market tightness and inflationary pressures, is forecast to decelerate to 2.9% on an annual basis, down from 3.0% in September. This slowdown in wage gains may provide some relief to policymakers monitoring inflation concerns, as moderating salary growth typically translates to reduced upward pressure on consumer prices.

The employment data is closely watched by investors and policymakers globally, as America's labour market performance influences broader economic expectations and central bank policy decisions. For regional markets like Malaysia, US employment trends carry implications for global trade and investment flows in Southeast Asia.