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Vietnam faces dramatic rise in extreme heat days by century's end

Updated climate projections show Vietnam's major cities could experience significantly more days of dangerous heat by 2100, with Ho Chi Minh City potentially facing 90-100 additional days annually exceeding 35 degrees Celsius.

LSN Vietnam · 12 October 2026

Vietnam faces dramatic rise in extreme heat days by century's end

Vietnam's climate outlook has grown considerably grimmer, with new national projections warning that the country's cities face a dramatic intensification of extreme heat in coming decades. Under high-emissions scenarios, inner Ho Chi Minh City could experience 90 to 100 additional days per year with temperatures surpassing 35 degrees Celsius by the end of this century, while Hanoi faces the prospect of 50 to 90 additional sweltering days annually.

The updated projections represent a marked departure from historical climate patterns and raise urgent questions about urban habitability, public health infrastructure, and economic productivity across Vietnam's population centers. The findings underscore the vulnerability of Southeast Asia's most densely populated regions to accelerating climate change, with implications for everything from energy demand to labor capacity during peak heat seasons.

Climate scientists have noted that these projections assume continued high greenhouse gas emissions globally. The severity of heat increases underscores the critical importance of both mitigation efforts to reduce emissions and adaptation strategies to help Vietnamese cities and communities prepare for the warming already in prospect. Urban planners and health officials are increasingly factoring extreme heat scenarios into long-term infrastructure and public health planning.