WMO warns of record-breaking El Niño intensity through January

Global weather conditions are set to intensify significantly in the coming months as the El Niño phenomenon strengthens to potentially record levels, according to the World Meteorological Organization. The peak of the warming cycle is forecast to occur in December, bringing far-reaching consequences for weather systems across multiple continents.

Temperature anomalies of 3.8°C above historical averages are anticipated during the three-month window from November through January, representing an exceptionally strong departure from normal conditions. Such extreme warming could trigger widespread disruptions to established weather patterns, affecting precipitation and atmospheric circulation globally.

Regions across South and Southeast Asia face particular vulnerability. India and neighbouring countries are likely to experience below-normal rainfall during this critical period, potentially impacting agricultural output and water availability. The weakening of monsoon systems could alter precipitation distribution across the subcontinent, raising concerns for farming communities and water resource management.

El Niño episodes typically bring warmer ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, influencing jet streams and weather systems thousands of kilometres away. The current event's projected intensity suggests widespread economic and environmental implications that governments and meteorological agencies across the region are closely monitoring as preparations continue.